Posted by Mark On September - 19 - 2011 9 Comments

Something strange is definitely afoot.  The Rays took 3-of-4 in Fenway in the universally accepted “biggest series of the year.”  The list of bizarre occurrences this weekend is mind-boggling:

  • The Rays are in a Wild Card race with the Boston Red Sox, not the Yankees, after everyone short of the Pope picked Boston as the odds on

    According to his blog, CC would be "devastated" if we make the playoffs. He sure didn't play like he cared this weekend, did he?

    favorite in the American League;

  • Television people are discussing the unenthusiastic (and early departing) crowd at Fenway during a huge September game, not the crowd at the Trop (no word as to whether CC is going to employ the Longoria/Price tweet strategy to motivate the Nation);
  •  Desmond Jennings was the athletic leftfielder that helped key his team’s effort with 6 hits, 5 runs, and 3 stolen bases in the 4 games, not Carl Crawford;
  • David Price has so much heart it can deflect a scalding line drive without injury; and
  • Jake McGee and Matt Moore made huge contributions on the mound while James Shields and David Price were not a factor.

Heck, things are so weird, I just saw Jon Gruden say that he likes the rookie QB (Sam Bradford) better than the veteran QB (Eli Manning) in a MNF promo.

So what does that all mean?  Well, if we do complete this comeback and play in October, then we can look back at this weekend as a turning point.  We will remember the bizarre September run from ‘hey, those guys sure had a good year after all that turnover’ to ‘Oh Mah Gawd. The Sawx aren’t going to the playoffs?’

Can we do it?  I don’t know.  Two games is still a lot of ground to make up in a week, particularly without a head-to-head matchup.  But, what the heck, I’m all in (the Mrs. would like me to point out that I had given up hope several weeks ago so, it is possible that my “all in” is a bandwagon “all in”).  But, let’s be realistic, you cannot evaluate this comeback opportunity without mentioning that 7 of the Rays final games are against New York while 7 of Boston’s final games are against Baltimore.

Seems like Boston has the advantage.  Upon further review (can you tell I watched the UF game Saturday?  I think they are still reviewing plays), I’d rather have New York than Baltimore.  I know what you are thinking, add that to the bizarre list above, but hear me out.

The biggest mistake the Rays (and for that matter the Sox) can make now, is to assume an outcome.  In a race this close, every game is must-win.  In fact, the Rays are two games back this morning because they looked past the Baltimore series that was the hole in their Boston donut.  Had the Rays treated the Orioles like they were, you know, competent, the Wild Card race would be tied this morning.

Here’s the thing, Boston is capable of the same let down.  One of two things happens when things are going as bad as they are for Boston.  A team either bands together and turns it around with an us-against-the-world mentality, or they crumble and start making excuses.  I haven’t followed them that closely but, this Sox team looks to me like an excuses bunch.  The entire Red Sox dugout totally checked out of the games Saturday and Sunday once the Rays built a lead (and their fans followed suit).  It was like the they had shirts under their jerseys that said “well, we won Friday and Tampa Bay needed a sweep.”  Not exactly 9=8.  They played half the series like they were in a B game on a back field in Fort Myers.  Totally disengaged.

The Rays, as we saw at the start of last week, are susceptible to the same let down.  But, they don’t have to play a bad team playing out the string, they have to play the mighty Yankees.  No one lets down in or against New York.  It’s not possible.  The pinstripes make you focus.  The money and fame makes you focus.  The hostile crowd at replica Yankee Stadium makes you focus.  The Yankee fans in your own ballpark make you focus.  The Yankees get everyone’s best shot because they are the Yankees.

So, in a weird way, I’d rather be playing New York than Baltimore because New York will make our young roster focus on the task at hand.

Advantage Rays.

Categories: Featured, Slider

9 Responses

  1. Merrill says:

    Dammit Mark…your blog ate my comment. Guess I’ll retry later.

  2. Brendan says:

    three things:

    1. Sam Bradford is a second year player, not a rookie.

    2. This is the only way the Orioles can make a difference in the postseason, so I’d rather be playing the yankees too. The Rays(ahem…Devil Rays) used to make playoff teams pay towards the end of the season when we weren’t good. For some reason, we liked winning against better teams in September. Hopefully the O’s are the same way.

    3. If the Rays can’t beat an already playoff bound Yankees team 4-5 times out of 7, then we don’t deserve to go to the postseason.

    • Mark says:

      1. Technicality. Bradford is young and the Gruden that coached the Bucs hated anyone under 50. Right?

      2. I agree on the O’s spoiler-ness. Two other factors, they play for Buck Showalter and they have already started messing with things. Last week they beat us a few times and then, over the weekend, they took 2-of-3 from Anaheim. Why wouldn’t they continue with Boston?

      3. I generally agree with this. They have the chance to play themselves in. If they win out this week and Boston matches them win-for-win, I’ll sleep fine. But if Boston continues to stumble, I don’t want to hear about the schedule as an excuse.

  3. Marc B. says:

    Buck Showalter has a thing against the Sox. He made a comment in Men’s Journal about them.

    “I’d like to see how smart Theo Epstein is with the Tampa Bay payroll,” he said. “You got Carl Crawford ’cause you paid more than anyone else, and that’s what makes you smarter? That’s why I like whipping their butt. It’s great, knowing those guys with the $205 million payroll are saying, ‘How the hell are they beating us?’”

    That being said, I’m almost positive Buck is not going to lay down for any reason. I also agree that I would rather play the Yankees instead of the O’s. Heck maybe we can blow the doors off the Yankees too and take the whole division. Not likely….. but mathematically possible!

  4. Leanne says:

    All August I was saying, watch out for the Dog Days; in September the Rays will be fresh and playing at their best and at least one of the Yankees or Red Sox will be worn out and fade. Even among most Rays fans, few seemed to want to believe that.

    In mid-August, AndyF and JoeM more or less let out that that’s been their strategy this year…let the 162 game season take its toll and see where we are mid-September. And here we are and it still seems like there are many who want to convince themselves that the Red Sox are just experiencing a hard time and will turn it back on. I don’t see it.

    I’ve been saying for almost a month, I’ll believe that the Red Sox are capable of playing .500 ball when I see them do it on the field. Right now, they are a beaten, worn down team and it’s the Rays playoff spot for them to take.

    • Mark says:

      Say what you want but, we have to at least concede that the Sox are, in fact, having a rough time. Between injuries to Beckett, Drew, Youkilis, Erik Bedard, Bobby Jenks, and Clay Bucholz, they have lost a ton of talent to bad luck. They still have enough talent to play better than they are. I am just saying that we cannot just totally say they blanked.

      • Merrill says:

        Sorry Mark, but that’s crap. There’s no WAY anyone is giving Rays credit for their injuries in 2009 (and still posting a winning season), I’m sure as hell not giving any points to a $162 million payroll that can’t figure out how to stay healthy or have fresh legs on the bench for the dog days.

        As for your cannibalistic blog…my point was made by other totally awesome commenters, so now I get to ride their coattails.

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