No. Not the underwhelming performance that left us 2.5 games out in the East. (I mean, yes, that stings, but that isn’t what I am talking about. You get it.)
Before last night’s game, Rays owner/New York resident Stuart Sternberg visited with the local media and promptly threw a wet blanket over Rays fans everywhere by reminding the media that the Rays have to get to $50MM in payroll next summer — no matter what.
That, of course, means this is the last summer for these Rays. Make sure you drink it in because a $22MM cut might mean more than simply letting Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena, and Rafael Soriano walk. If that were the extent of things, I’d survive because I already had my own memorial services for all three months ago. I’m ready to see them play elsewhere.
But $50MM is a small number. Cork Gaines, over at Rays Index, has done yeoman’s work breaking down the 2011 40-man roster by salary. He gets to $42MM with 23 players on the active roster. That estimate assumes, however, that the Rays will pick up Dan Wheeler’s $4MM option, Willy Aybar’s $2.2MM option, keep both Lance Cormier and Andy Sonnanstine, and finally give Justin Ruggiano a shot as the 4th outfielder. It also includes Jason Bartlett’s $5.5MM and Dioner Navarro’s $2.9MM.
To me, that seems optimistic even though it fits within Sternberg’s stated payroll budget. Here are a few additional roster thoughts to consider with an eye towards 2011:
- Jeremy Hellickson will definitely make the rotation. If the Rays had their way, I don’t think they’d like him replace either Jeff Niemann or Wade Davis because that doesn’t save the club any money. Obviously, David Price is untouchable, so that means the Rays will try to find a new home for either James Shields or Matt Garza and, in the process, save themselves about $5.1MM in 2011 salary.
- If the Rays get down to the $40MM or $35MM range for 2011, are they willing to spend some money to acquire a closer or will they let Joe Maddon tinker around with his beloved closer-by-committee? If they don’t want to spend the money (there are a lot of good reasons – most importantly, closers are overpaid and overrated) on a closer, it looks to me like Jake McGee, Dan Wheeler, and the rehabbed JP Howell will get a look. Not exciting.
- I’d be shocked if Fernando Perez didn’t beat Ruggiano out for that 4th outfielder spot. Ruggiano isn’t one of Joe Maddon’s favorite people on earth despite his minor-league success.
- I wouldn’t be shocked if Willy Aybar’s days as a Ray are over as well. He makes too much money for a guy that doesn’t do a lot of things other than hit (and for long periods, doesn’t do that either). It was a fun ride though.
Will the 2011 Rays be World Series contenders without Crawford, Pena, Soriano, (and possible Shields/Garza, Bartlett, Navarro, and Aybar)? I don’t know. Who thought the 2008 Rays were going to be good? I still think the dire predictions for next season we are seeing in the local media vastly overestimate the club’s demise. It will hurt to see our guys elsewhere, and it will take some time to get used to the new home team, but this team will still be young, still be fun, and still play with their hair on fire. That is all I need from a club.









Again I agree. First, though it is my opinion (only), Shields has to go. We can still trade him and get something for him, but I swear if he is in the playoff rotation I’m gonna scream. Garza? Good, not always consistent, but no matter, replaceable (though I would keep him if I could). Navarro? Unfortunately the only one of our catchers that can throw a guy out at second, but far from irreplaceable. Bartlett? Again, I love the guy, but replaceable. Lastly, Aybar. You said it yourself “a guy that doesn’t do a lot of things other than hit (and for long periods, doesn’t do that either).” He has some great clutch hits, but once again, irreplaceable? Niemann is stuggling, but I have not given up hope and Davis I wouldn’t trade for anything at this point, like you said, it wouldn’t clear enough money so why not keep them. CC is gonna go and Pena will most likely go, and maybe he should because of his bat (even though is D is amazing), but Soriono I will miss the most. They guy is worth all his dollars. Nothing makes me feel more confident about a close than him. He, I will miss.
All these guys fit this team in a special way. But that doesn’t mean they have to fit the next team too. I understand your point about Soriano but, in the end, closers do not contribute enough to the team’s overall success to be worth the money they make. I will agree, however, that the end of 11 years of ninth-inning-teeth-gnashing has been nice.
Mark,
I like what you had to say and agree with most of the observations. To me, Navarro is dead weight so he should go. Bartlett is expendable because I think up the middle we are strong and have plenty of depth. Pena is a nice guy, but not for $10 million/year. Like you, I have already accepted that Crawford is gone. The point we disagree on is Soriano. He is the difference between last year being in contention until September and this year playing in October. Maybe closers get paid too much or are overrated for the amount of work they do in most cases, but not this one. Without Soriano this year the Rays are trailing the Red Sox. He will be missed next year, but at least we get Howell back and I think Jake Mcgee can help in the pen. Finally, if it were up to me, I would get rid of Shields to make room for Hellickson. Keep up the good work and GO RAYS.
I understand your love for Soriano. In fact, I hear that a lot. But closers, like leftfielders, are a dime-a-dozen. We’ll find someone to fill that spot. He has been incredible this year. In fact, I just untucked my shirt after I finished this reply…
i love the fact that our owner touts how good a team we have and how disappointed he is with the fans when he only comes to 1 or 2 games a year. Classic do as I say not as I do.
Fair point. But, in his defense, he lives a little farther from the Trop than most of us. Also, after the Vince-experience, I think an owner that is 3,000 miles from the yard isn’t a totally bad thing…